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Home » Houston vs. Memphis prediction, odds, line: 2022 Week 6 college football picks, best bets from proven model
The Memphis Tigers want to stay on the ball on Friday night. Memphis is 4-1 going into the 2022 season, including two AAC wins. In the team’s sixth game, Memphis hosts the Houston Cougars at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. Houston is 2-3 overall and 0-1 in the AAC game, though the Cougars won the 2021 matchup between the two programs at home by a 31-13 margin.
Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Tigers are 2.5-point favorites in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Memphis vs. Houston odds. The Over/Under for the total score is set at 57.5. Before you hit a Houston vs. Memphis tips, you need to see SportsLine’s advanced computer model college football predictions and betting recommendations.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering $3,100+ win for $100 players with its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Houston vs. Memphis and just laid out its picks and CFB predictions. You can go to SportsLine to see the selection. Well, here are some college football odds and betting lines for Memphis vs. Houston:
Spread between Houston and Memphis: Memphis -2.5 Houston vs. Memphis Over/Under: 57.5 points Houston vs. Memphis money line: Memphis -130, Houston +110 HOU: The Cougars are 1-4 against the spread in 2022 MEM: The Tigers are 2-3 against the spread this season Houston vs. Memphis Tips: See tips here
Featured Game | Memphis Tigers vs. Houston Cougars Why Houston can cover
Led by Clayton Tune, Houston’s offense is dangerous. The Cougars are averaging nearly 31 points per game in 2022 with three times as many touchdown passes as interceptions. Houston moves the chains effectively and converts 50% of third down chances, and Tune has tremendous experience. The veteran signal caller has more than 9,000 career passing yards for 1,201 yards and nine touchdowns in 2022. Tune is also capable on the ground with 193 rushing yards and two touchdowns, and he can link up with Nathaniel Dell with an elite pass catching option.
Dell is in the AAC’s top five with 33 catches and 453 yards this season, coming off a 2021 season in which he produced more than 1,300 receiving yards. Memphis has conceded more passing yards (288.0 yards per game) than any other team in the AAC this season, and the Tigers have the third-worst grade in the conference for total defense (400.2 yards per game allowed). Memphis has just seven sacks in five games with opposing quarterbacks producing 8.0 yards per pass attempt in 2022.
Why Memphis can cover
Memphis does reasonably well on both sides and has a devastating defense. The Tigers have eight interceptions in five games, the most of any AAC program, and opponents connect on just 61.3% of pass attempts. Memphis is also effectively filling the run, giving up 112.2 yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry this season. Houston’s offensive line has conceded the third most sacks (13) of any AAC program, and the Cougars are generating just 3.9 yards per rush attempt.
On the other hand, Memphis is averaging 34 points and 400 total yards per game, and the Tigers have just one interception in five contests. Second quarterback Seth Henigan is playing well this season with 1,276 passing yards and 149 rushing yards, and no team has conceded more passing touchdowns (12) in the AAC than Houston. The Rockets are bottom in the conference in points allowed (34.0 per game), total defense (408.4 yards per game) and passing yards allowed (273.6 per game), and Memphis should have opportunities to be successful.
How to do Houston vs. Memphis picks
SportsLine’s model takes total points and projects teams to score 67 points combined. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in well over 50% of the simulations. You can only see the CFB picks of the model here.
So who will win Houston vs. Memphis? And which side of the spread applies in well over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Houston vs. Memphis spread you need to jump to on Friday, all from the model who crushed his college football picks, and find out.
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