Another Saturday of wall-to-wall faculty soccer motion is right here, and it feels so good.
Wasting no time in stepping into the motion, our workers chosen the highest three bets for Week 9 at midday on Saturday, together with Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan, TCU vs. West Virginia, and Oklahoma vs. Iowa State.
Whether you are trying to prepare for the midweek MACtion – which shall be right here earlier than we all know in just a few days – or hold your eye on some intriguing Big 12 matchups, we have you coated.
Read on for all three of our greatest bets for the Saturday lunchtime desk, and likewise try the remainder of our greatest bets for the Week 9 afternoon, night and night time begin home windows.
Saturday Noon College Football Best Bets
The workforce logos within the desk under signify the entire matchups our faculty soccer workers are concentrating on in immediately’s playlist. Click on the workforce logos for any of the next matchups to navigate to a particular guess mentioned on this article.
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan
By Patrick Strollo
The key to beating Eastern Michigan is easy: Lead the rattling ball.
Eastern Michigan is 3-5 towards the unfold this season. In the Eagles’ three covers, they held opposing offenses to a mean of 125 speeding yards per recreation. In the 5 failed makes an attempt, opposing offenses have averaged 189.2 yards per recreation on the bottom.
Eastern Michigan’s speeding protection is without doubt one of the worst within the nation, ranked 94th whereas averaging 165.1 yards per recreation — regardless of placing it in the midst of the sphere in MACtion.
Toledo has the most effective operating assaults within the nation, with speeding offense ranked #34 (194.3/recreation) and speeding offense ranked #3 on the MAC.
Toledo ranks simply behind a Northern Illinois workforce who’re second within the MAC speeding (202.3/recreation). The Huskies hollowed out in Ypsilanti jap Michigan two weeks in the past, speeding for 287 yards and three touchdowns.
The Rockets, a run-first workforce, are led by twin risk quarterback Dequan Finn. The second quarterback leads the workforce in speeding at 65 yards per recreation, however is augmented by quite a few backs who work after committee.
Look to Toledo to emulate the success Northern Illinois had just some weeks earlier in a shocking 39-10 win over Eastern Michigan.
The Rockets are a straight 3-1 towards the unfold in convention play this season after dropping outright as a seven-point favourite final week. In a contest the place Finn threw 4 interceptions — three of them within the fourth quarter — I anticipate a a lot nearer recreation for Finn, who averaged lower than one interception previous to final week’s efficiency.
My mannequin has Toledo as an 11.9 level favourite based mostly on its mileage versus the relative weak spot of the Toledo speeding protection.
After opening at 9 factors, the road has come down to simply inside a landing at six and a hook. I adore it when Toledo hit the highway with greater than seven factors.
Watch out for Toledo popping out with a robust onslaught – most likely greater than typical – after Finn’s disappointing passing recreation final week.
TCU vs. West Virginia
This is a superb buy-low spot to again the Mountaineers after a 38-point loss at Texas Tech. I additionally assume this can be a prime alternative to promote excessive on what I imagine is an overvalued TCU workforce in comparison with market notion.
I may additionally simply see the Frogs popping out a bit flat for a noon highway kick at Morgantown, with their fuel tank probably operating with exhaust fumes after 5 straight contests.
After a highway date with rival SMU, they confronted 4 consecutive convention opponents in Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas and Kansas State. Not solely that, they’ve needed to make comebacks in every of their final three individual-ownership wins.
Meanwhile, West Virginia ought to have a lot brisker legs, having solely performed as soon as since Oct. 13.
Look, West Virginia’s defenses are horrendous. Don’t anticipate many stops towards the high-flying frogs, particularly contemplating how effectively Max Duggan is enjoying.
However, I can say the identical concerning the TCU protection, which has benefited from quarterback accidents in every of its final 4 contests. The Frogs beat Dillon Gabriel (Oklahoma), Jalon Daniels (Kansas) and Adrian Martinez (Kansas State) within the first half. At one level, the Wildcats even needed to go to their third-string quarterback, who threw an interception.
The solely beginning quarterback to complete a recreation down that stretch was Spencer Sanders, who appeared clearly hampered by a shoulder harm within the second half. As a outcome, TCU’s defensive numbers are trying so much rosier than in the event that they did not face Davis Beville for chunk of the Oklahoma recreation, for instance.
Even with these breaks, TCU nonetheless ranks 93rd within the EPA per go, which bodes effectively for West Virginia’s pass-heavy airstrike.
For what it is price, this additionally marks the very weekend that Dykes’ groups have fallen off a cliff in every of the final three seasons.
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State
Through Cody Goggin
After a brutal stretch of losses to Kansas State and Texas, I feel we lastly acquired to see this Oklahoma workforce’s potential towards Kansas because the Sooners put up 701 yards of offense and 52 factors.
After per week’s relaxation, Oklahoma will journey to Ames to tackle the Iowa State Cyclones. The Sooners are short-lived favorites, which surprises me a bit based mostly on what we all know concerning the make-up of these groups.
Oklahoma ranks thirty eighth in offensive success price and has had probably the most success domestically, the place it has the thirty fifth finest speeding success price within the nation and the thirty second highest price of run performs.
The state of Iowa has robust defenses that can assist repel this assault. The Cyclones are ranked the thirteenth finest protection within the nation by SP+. They have been helped largely by their means to keep away from lengthy performs.
The Iowa State Defense ranks seventeenth within the EPA per allowed recreation and thirteenth in SP+. It ranks third finest in allowable explosiveness on protection, which has obscured the truth that the state of Iowa solely has the No. 89 protection success price.
If Oklahoma falters this weekend, it can seemingly be as a result of its protection has failed it. That Sooners protection has been poor this yr, however I feel they’re doing effectively towards Iowa State and can profit from the week they’ve needed to regroup.
At the tip of the day Oklahoma is the extra proficient workforce and will be capable to get that win in Ames. If the Sooners do not, the voices arguing about Brent Venables’ job standing will echo louder and louder with every loss.
This seems like a great spot for the Sooners to get issues again on monitor and decide up an enormous win down the convention highway.