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Big Ten college football picks, odds in Week 13: Ohio State, Michigan set for rivalry showdown

Finally the showdown between No. 2 Ohio State and No. 3 Michigan is right here and the stakes could not be larger. Bragging rights, the Big Ten East and a attainable college football playoff berth are at stake. Revenge can be an element for Ohio State because the Buckeyes put together to host the Wolverines on Saturday following the embarrassing loss to their archrival final season.

But for their similarities to 11-0 Big Ten East groups, there’s one main distinction in their resumes. That distinction is the non-conference victory over Notre Dame gained by Ohio State in Week 1. As Michigan zipped via a ridiculous non-conference listing of Colorado State, Hawaii and UConn, the Buckeyes examined themselves towards a high-profile opponent who’s been quietly placing collectively a strong season.

The Fighting Irish are fifteenth in the College Football Playoff rankings this week and have an opportunity to climb even additional in the event that they beat No. 6 USC on Saturday evening. If Ohio State would not beat Michigan, Buckeyes followers ought to morph into critical Notre Dame followers on Saturday evening. If Notre Dame beats USC, it might get rid of the Trojans from the CFP contest and makes Ohio State’s Week 1 win over the Fighting Irish much more spectacular.

In this situation, the Buckeyes would have an actual shot at making the CFP as a one-loss workforce. But if Michigan loses? Bad luck. The Wolverines’ greatest win — and their solely win towards a ranked workforce — can be a house win on Oct. 15 towards Penn State.

Michigan has solely itself accountable for why the stakes are so excessive right here. The Wolverines have been scheduled to play at UCLA this season however known as off their streak with the Bruins in 2019 and allegedly paid $1.5 million for it. Instead, they added a sport that includes Hawaii.

UCLA is ranked 18th this week, whereas Hawaii sits at 127th on the CBS Sports 131. Even if Michigan had performed UCLA and misplaced in Week 2, it would not have hindered the Wolverines’ CFP hopes. A win over Ohio State and a win in subsequent week’s Big Ten Championship Game would undoubtedly have put the Wolverines into the College Football Playoffs as a one-losing squad.

On the opposite hand, a win over the Bruins in Week 2 would have given Michigan the identical cushion Ohio State is having fun with now.

Instead, the Wolverines backed themselves right into a nook with a poor schedule, unnecessarily elevating the stakes for the most important sport of their season. If Michigan loses to Ohio State, its nationwide title hopes are prone to be over. If the Buckeyes lose, they will no less than activate the USC-Notre Dame sport and maintain on to hope for some time longer.

Now that the stakes are set, let’s dive into this week’s Big Ten listing for our remaining spherical of picks this season.

Record 2022: 37-31-2

#3 Michigan in the state #2 Ohio

Featured Game | Ohio State Buckeyes versus Michigan Wolverines

Ohio State is considerably higher defensively than final season, when Michigan ended an eight-game shedding streak in the sequence by bodily dominating the Buckeyes with a 42-27 win. With the standing of the Michigan star working again Blake Corum in query after selecting up an damage final week, the Wolverines may discover it tough to achieve 30 factors this time. The Buckeyes can use their protection, house discipline benefit, and starvation for revenge to lean on Michigan as this sport progresses. The Wolverines are nationally No. 1 in whole protection, however what nice assaults have they performed? The state of Ohio is ranked #2 nationally for felony and elite crimson zone scores. The Buckeyes have the firepower to retreat late and canopy the unfold. Selection: State of Ohio -7.5

Featured Game | Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans

Bowl participation is at stake for the Spartans, though it is unclear if that is ample motivation for a workforce that simply misplaced at house to Indiana. Beating the Hoosiers would have been the straightforward route to 6 wins. Now, Michigan State faces the unenviable job of taking over a Penn State workforce that has quietly reached the height of a 10-win common season. While it is simple to think about the Nittany Lions main this sport by 21 or 24 factors, it is also straightforward to think about Sean Clifford throwing an pointless interception or two for outdated instances’ sake protecting this sport tight through the redshirt- Senior is enjoying his final house sport at Beaver Stadium. Before shedding in Indiana, Michigan had gained three out of 4 video games in that span, with victories over Wisconsin and Illinois. The Spartans can cowl that massive quantity. Choice: Michigan State +18

Featured Game | Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

With Wisconsin’s teaching search nearing its finish and caretaker coach Jim Leonhard nonetheless regarded as in a great place to land the full-time job, look to the Badgers to play some impressed football right here. A win would make Wisconsin a simple transfer underneath Leonhard after the midseason layoff of Paul Chryst and the elimination of the interim tag. Though Wisconsin has been wanting poorly for the previous two weeks, it has gained its two house video games underneath Leonhard by double digits towards bowl-bound opponents in Maryland and Purdue. Another sturdy house efficiency appears seemingly right here towards a Minnesota aspect who’re 2-2. Choice: Wisconsin -3.5

Featured Game | Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

It would not be proper to finish the common season with out undercutting one other sport in Iowa. The Hawkeyes have the nation’s No. 5 purpose protection and permit simply 13.5 factors per sport. Nebraska ranks No. 103 on the nation’s high scorer listing. you get the image Even with quarterback Casey Thompson coming back from damage final week, the Cornhuskers rallied simply 171 yards in a 29-points house loss to Wisconsin. Iowa will win the Big Ten West with a win and play in the Big Ten title sport subsequent week. That means the Hawkeyes will seemingly need to preserve power and well being in the second half as they progress with two possessions. This is assured to be a low scoring sport. Choice: Below 38.5

Purdue in Indiana

Featured Game | Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Did you suppose Indiana would simply lay down and give up after falling from 3-0 to 3-7 after a seven-game shedding streak? suppose once more The Hoosiers gained a 39-31 sport in double time beyond regulation at Michigan State final week and ought to be cheered for rivalry every week after that efficiency. Assuming Iowa beats Nebraska on Friday, the Boilermakers will probably be out of the Big Ten West title race by the beginning of this sport. All of Purdue’s seven wins towards FBS opponents this season have come to 10 factors or much less, so it appears unlikely that the Boilermakers will all of a sudden crush a Big Ten opponent down the street. Selection: Indiana +10.5

Maryland performed an amazing sport, coming simply wanting No. 2 Ohio State final week. The Terrapins appeared like themselves once more offensively whereas protecting the Buckeyes’ prolific offense in test. Rutgers was completely crushed by Penn State as he suffered a seventh loss. Five of them have come in with margins larger than this vary. The Scarlet Knights are unhealthy, having been eradicated from the Bowl bid and taking over a Maryland workforce that ought to be motivated to enter the Bowl season on a excessive observe after final week’s heartbreaking loss. And sure, Terps quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa is anticipated to play after struggling an damage in the final sport of the sport final week. Choice: Maryland -14

Featured Game | Northwestern Wildcats vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Why is that this rating so excessive? Illinois is No. 92 in scoring offense and Northwestern is No. 128. It’s true that the Illinois ought to have the ability to amass yards on the Wildcats’ working protection, however they will additionally lose time in the method. With the Illini coming off a triple shedding streak after their 7-1 begin, look for coach Bret Bielema to drag one out right here to return to the Victory Column. Illinois’ protection could also be fighting depth and attrition, however Northwestern have not hit double digits in their final three video games and the Wildcats aren’t going to all of a sudden discover an offensive rhythm in their remaining sport of the season. Choice: Under 38

What college football picks are you able to hit with confidence in Week 13, and which high 25 groups will go down laborious? Visit SportsLine to see which groups will win and canopy the vary – all from a confirmed laptop mannequin that has introduced in practically $3,000 in earnings over the past 6+ seasons – and discover out.

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